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Envisioning a wireless future

By Dave Mock

When taken in small doses, technical evolution seems fluid and almost natural. But considering the advances in technology over the course of decades reveals a much more radical transformation of the way we live, communicate and entertain.

Just the way we communicate with one another has undergone a dramatic shift. Everything from public manners to safety is being challenged by anywhere, anytime communication.

Recently, Qualcomm marked its 20-year anniversary by recounting what wireless communications looked like in 1985, and celebrating where they've arrived today. Back then, mobile communication was, at worst, 30 pounds of equipment in a car trunk, or at best, a heavy briefcase phone. Today, communications happen through a small yet still gangly looking earpiece.

Considering where mobile communications was then and what it looks like today, what might our wireless future look like 20 years hence? Here's my scenario:

No wires, no hands

The young generation already finds it hard to believe that their elders used to talk on a phone tied to a wall? The next generation will be equally incredulous that we once had to stick something up to our heads to talk.

Future wireless technology will ensure everything is accessible immediately upon payment for service or transmission of identity. The common prophecy to this end is implantation. Many visionaries have put forth the notion of embedded intelligence, where simple thought is all that is necessary to telepath "mental speech" wirelessly to another individual anywhere in the world.

But I don't see the risks and concerns associated with implantation as even necessary, given that very tiny devices can be lodged in clothing, jewelry or even behind an ear. Those tiny displays on our mobile will be expanded and morphed with our regular vision, possibly via transparent LCD displays built into glasses or even contact lens-like screens. Augmented reality will be a radical shift for society to deal with. Imagine getting hacked or stung by a virus in this medium--it means more than just corrupted information; an alternate reality could invade your world.

One with nature

I'm guessing we'll finally understand that personal wireless communication needs to be implemented via point-to-point technology--not broadcast. We've been living in a broadcast world from day one, when the very first signals were sent sans wires.

When you look at the nature of wireless signals, they naturally lend themselves to broadcasting--spewing energy omnidirectionally for anyone in range to detect and consume. To utilize broadcast signals for secure, personal communications between two parties is inconsistent with the uncontrolled nature of electromagnetic radiation.

Smart antennae are moving us in the right direction, where electromagnetic waves are focused on mobile devices as they move. Yet even this sophistication is still not standard. I see radical advances in spatial processing happening to dramatically improve the capacity, security and quality of personal wireless communications.

Unfettered access, immediate authentication

It still takes time to access some audio and visual information or entertainment. But future wireless technology will ensure everything is accessible immediately upon payment for service or transmission of identity.

It will speed your way into work, VIP parking areas or any other areas restricted on the basis of identity. Hopefully, it will also do something to improve long lines at government offices and the airport, though I'm not holding my breath.

What's clear about the future 20 years down the road is how integrated into our lives wireless technology will have become. The result will be nearly unbounded connectivity.


At August 10, 2005 at 8:46 PM Anonymous said...

Last night I watched "From Russia With Love", the original Sean Connery spy movie. The spy stuff like bugs, tape recorders, spy camera films and car telephones were positively laughable from today's standards.
We're truly just scratching the surface.

Steve B.

P.S. Keep up the great blog.


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