Vital Signs

Vital Signs

on July 20, 2004

After 13 straight trading sessions of brutal selling, MVIS and the Nasdaq have bounced back quite nicely today. Maybe the psychology that drives the market is ready to turn as well. Maybe it doesn't make sense to make investment decisions based on the color of the threat level or 'geopolitical concerns'. We're either going to survive or we aren't -- in which case it wouldn't matter if one's portfolio is all cash or all Microvision.

What I think makes more sense is to make decisions based on the probability of certain things happening.

For example, over the last year Microvision and Honda worked together to design the Nomad Expert Technician System.

In July 2003, Honda signed a letter of intent to purchase 3800 Nomads after trials in May demonstrated 39% efficiency gains for mechanics who utilize the tool.

In October 2003, Honda unveiled the Nomad to its dealers under their own name, 'i-Tech Expert Technician System'.

(Also in October 2003, Volvo Trucks measured 31% efficiency gains for mechanics using Nomad to perform complex diagnostic tasks.)

In May 2004, Honda completed certification of Nomad as a 'recommended tool' and began their process of aggregating orders to achieve favorable volume pricing.

So in July 2004, is there a greater probability of Honda coming through with their large order for Nomads, or having them say, 'on second thought, we're not interested in 39% efficiency gains'?

You make the call.

Comments

This blog is the author's personal website. It is not affiliated with MicroVision, Inc. or any company. This website does not recommend the purchase or sale of any stocks, options, bonds or any investment of any kind. This website does not provide investment advice. Disclaimer and Notices: Disclaimer: This website may contain "forward-looking" information including statements concerning the company's outlook for the future, as well as other statements of beliefs, future plans and strategies or anticipated events, and similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. The forward-looking information and statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the statements. The information on this website includes forward looking statements, including statements regarding projections of future operations, product applications, development and production, future benefits of contractual arrangements, growth in demand, as well as statements containing words like believe, estimate, expect, anticipate, target, plan, will, could, would, and other similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results could differ materially from the results implied or expressed in the forward looking statement. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements are included in MVIS most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the heading 'Risk factors related to the company's business,' and our other reports filed with the Comission from time to time. Except as expressly required by Federal securities laws, MVIS Blog undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in circumstances, or other reasons. Legal Notice: Although considerable care has been taken in preparing and maintaining the information and material contained on this website, MVIS Blog makes no representation nor gives any warranty as to the currency, completeness, accuracy or correctness of any of the elements contained herein. Facts and information contained in the website are believed to be accurate at the time of posting. However, information may be superseded by subsequent disclosure, and changes may be made at any time without prior notice. MVIS Blog shall not be responsible for, or liable in respect of, any damage, direct or indirect, or of any nature whatsoever, resulting from the use of the information contained herein. While the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. MVIS Blog has not independently verified the facts, assumptions, and estimates contained on this website. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained on this website. Consequently, MVIS Blog assumes no liability for the accompanying information, which is being provided to you solely for evaluation and general information. This website does not contain inside information, proprietary or confidential information learned or disclosed as part of employment relationships or under nondisclosure agreements or otherwise.